Back to work?

With the latest figures showing a rise in unemployment – but a fall in the number claiming unemployment benefit – it seems like there is an opportunity to momentarily shift discussion away from the Clegg bounce and leadership debates and towards welfare policy. So far the parties have largely focused on making sure voters know that they will be tough on welfare, but with unemployment at 2.5 million, this is insufficient.

Lots of similarities between Labour and Conservative welfare policies are evident from the manifestos, but also some important differences, in approach as well as policy.

There are similarities in the sound-bites: Labour aims for a ‘swift return to employment’ and the Conservatives want to ‘get Britain working again’. And in the headlines: both main parties are keen to offer more targeted and personalised support, focus attention on job creation and prevent a scarred generation of young people. There are similarities in flagship programmes, namely Labour’s Flexible New Deal and the Conservatives’ single Work Programme. And both parties talk of toughening up the system with proposals on sanctions and benefit cheats.

But there are also significant differences. Labour’s manifesto commitments include an extension to the Young Person’s Guarantee, a better off in work guarantee, a living wage in Whitehall, and rises in the National Minimum Wage. And the narrative of a ‘big society’ that underpins Tory proposals to tackle welfare dependency highlights different roles for the state, welfare to work organisations and individuals.

What of the Liberal Democrats? Well, their manifesto commitments on welfare are noticeably thin. There is a focus on supply-side measures such as job creation and especially green jobs, but proposals to tackle unemployment are mostly absent.

It is clear that many challenges remain around welfare reform. Amongst the most significant is personalising welfare. Emerging findings from ippr’s innovative Now it’s Personal research are highlighting the need for interventions that don’t just isolate employment support and that recognise a wider set of needs such as childcare and transport. Also needed are advisers who have good knowledge of the local environment and in particular good relationships with local employers and training providers. In addition a focus on supporting sustainable job outcomes with more support for people once they are in work to manage the transition as well as a volatile and flexible labour market.

A tougher welfare policy may seem like the right tactic to appeal to voters, but with 2.5 million people currently unemployed and with public sector cuts still to come, this will not be enough. More radical change is needed for the welfare system to be genuinely responsive, personalised and effective.

Dalia Ben-Galim

Foreign policy: missing in action?

As observed in a recent Policy Critical post, this election campaign is giving short shrift to foreign affairs. This is understandable in the context of campaign speeches and promises, since voters want to hear most about the issues that have the greatest impact on their day-to-day lives: taxes, healthcare, education and so on.

But how the government conducts its relations with its international partners – and the trade-offs that it must make in deciding what issues to prioritise – also has profound implications for the country’s economy and national security, broadly defined, so these issues deserve to be addressed in much more detail.

It is encouraging that the manifesto statements of all three parties appear to have recognised that Britain’s place in the world has changed in recent decades. Without making too much of the argument that we are a power in decline, it is clear that we cannot afford to maintain the kind of full-spectrum combat capabilities that we enjoyed in the past. In the short term, this is because the financial crisis has limited the resources available to spend on security and defence.

More significantly, the changing nature of the security challenges we face – which include extreme weather, pandemic diseases, nuclear proliferation and transnational crime, as well as more conventional threats such as inter-state conflict and terrorism – mean that the tools and strategies we use to tackle them must also change. Greater specialisation is required, and a commitment to working in partnership with allies old and new should be seen as a strategic imperative, rather than an optional add-on to a unilateral foreign policy.

However, Labour and Conservative acceptance of this principle has not led either party to offer particularly specific suggestions for what Britain should be doing more of and what it should be doing less of. Both manifestos offer long laundry lists of desirable foreign policies – which include maintaining current spending on aid, improving conditions for the Armed Forces and delivering a sustainable peace settlement in Afghanistan – while kicking difficult questions about the cuts that must be made in order to achieve these goals to the strategic defence and security review due to be carried out in post-election period. Only the Liberal Democrats have given a firmer indication of their position on this, through their pledge to rule out the like-for-like replacement of Trident on the grounds that a price tag of £100 billion over the course of its lifetime is unaffordable.

A more realistic debate about the future contours of British foreign policy among the electorate is urgently required: it is a shame that none of the manifestos published this week have seized the opportunity to bring this about.

Alex Glennie