Showing posts with label industry. Show all posts
Showing posts with label industry. Show all posts

Thursday, 18 March 2010

Regulation, regulation, regulation


Yesterday (17 March) saw the launch of the interim findings from Peter Mandelson’s Low Carbon Construction Innovation and Growth Team, who have been tasked with conducting a review of the construction industry to ensure it is fit for purpose for delivering a low carbon economy.

The report identifies big opportunities for the industry in building the low carbon homes of the future, upgrading the existing housing stock and providing new infrastructure for low-carbon energy and transport systems. It also identifies a host of barriers that need to be overcome before the industry can fully benefit from these low-carbon options.

The LCCIGT have a clear message for government, which is that in order for the industry to transform its products to low-carbon models, it must be confident that the market is also transforming. They go on to suggest that ‘the evidence is that the clearest signal of this will be taken from well-designed regulatory standards, underpinned by the presumption of a stable and realistic price of carbon.’

The three main political parties have all shied away from the use of regulatory standards to drive improvements to the existing housing stock (in the privately-owned sector at least), preferring instead to focus on the use of financial incentives to entice homeowners into ‘greening’ their homes. All three parties have announced plans to introduce loan schemes to pay for energy efficiency improvements as they vie to win green votes, but none have suggested that our homes ought to be required to meet minimum energy efficiency standards.

The Government’s recently published Strategy for Household Energy Management announced a consultation on regulations to make cavity wall and loft insulation compulsory in all privately-rented properties, but since there would be no compulsion to improve boiler efficiency, draughty windows and other causes of inefficiency, this falls a long way short of providing the kind of powerful signal the industry is seeking.

Similarly, while Europe has an emissions trading scheme, the price at which permits are trading has so far been too low to send a significant signal. Moreover, the uncertain conclusion to the global climate summit in Copenhagen last year and the likelihood that US climate laws will not be based on carbon trading make ‘…a stable and realistic price of carbon’ any time soon highly presumptive indeed.

Thus regulation is all the more important. ippr’s new report on fuel poverty calls for the introduction of minimum energy performance standards for all homes, including rental properties, in order to deliver on both poverty and climate change goals. Politicians have traditionally seen regulation as a last resort and in the run up to the election will fear frightening the business lobby with anything that might be perceived to be an unnecessary burden on industry. But today’s report shows that business may suffer without tougher regulation. Why not give them what they want?

Jenny Bird, research fellow, ippr

Wednesday, 10 March 2010

UK exports collapse in January


The latest UK trade figures were awaited more eagerly than usual. Exports are seen as crucial to the UK’s economic recovery and the main political parties are all eager to present themselves as having the best policies for the sector.

Figures released on 9 March show the UK’s trade deficit in goods widened to £8.0 billion in January from £7.0 billion in December. This was mainly the result of a 6.0 per cent fall in export volumes (excluding oil and erratic items).

This will come as a blow to those looking to the export sector to strengthen the UK economy’s recovery from recession. Sterling’s effective exchange rate fell by 25 per cent in 2008; this was supposed to make UK industry more competitive and boost overseas sales of British goods. So far, there is little evidence that this is happening.

The January data are probably a blip – trade data are among the most erratic of all data releases. More worrying is the underlying trend, which shows only modest growth in export volumes over the last year. Of course, this is due in no small part to the weakness of demand in the UK’s main export markets, particularly in the rest of Europe, and it should be that export growth will improve once Europe’s economic recovery picks up speed.

There are also some grounds for optimism in the latest business surveys. The Bank of England’s agents’ report and the CBI’s survey of manufacturing both show a steady improvement in optimism about the outlook for exports in recent months. However, the Bank of England does note that some companies are taking advantage of sterling’s weakness to push up profit margins, rather than allowing it to feed through into enhanced competitiveness. Depending what happens to these higher profits, this probably means some of the potential benefits of sterling’s fall - in terms of more exports, more output and more jobs - are being lost.

Tony Dolphin, senior economist, ippr